Considering the position and movement of Pam and people far more versed in weather than I are having difficulties predicting it's path, all I can recommend doing is keeping an eye on it and checking weather reports for the next couple days.
Forecast track for Severe Tropical Cyclone Pam, effective 18z Tuesday, 3/10/15. (map courtesy of RSMC Nadi)
On the current forecast track, the center of Pam would remain away from many of the islands in the area – but will get dangerously close to portions of the Vanuatu Islands and potentially New Caledonia. Regardless, the threats associated with a tropical cyclone extend well beyond the center and you should never focus on just where the center of a cyclone is expected to move. At this time, the southeast Vanuatu Islands are expected to see the most significant impacts, but there is potential for significant rainfall and strong winds for other areas as well. North Island, New Zealand is expecting some impacts by the end of the weekend, but the details are uncertain at this time.
And for the Gold Coast? While a little more trade swell is expected through the end of the week as described in our official forecast for the Quik Pro, a major cyclone swell isn’t going to happen before Friday.
- Mark Willis, Surfline's Chief Meteorologist